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All analysis on Middle East

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Middle East Overview: November 2025

The ceasefire in Gaza held in October as low-level violence continued, while the ceasefire in Lebanon approached one year under strain, and settler violence against olive harvesters in the West Bank reached a record high.

القادة يشددون السيطرة بينما القمع يطغى على انتخابات العراق لعام 2025

رغم أنّ مستوى العنف في العراق هو في أدنى مستوياته منذ سقوط صدام حسين عام 2003، إلّا أنّ الاستقرار النسبي قبل انتخابات تشرين الثاني هو نتيجة القمع السياسي الذي يمارسه القادة السياسيون الذين بدأت شرعيتهم تتآكل.

Middle East Overview: October 2025

Military pressure in Gaza City escalated as a ceasefire outline emerged, renewed confrontations broke out between government forces and the Syrian Democratic Forces in northern Syria, and an uptick of Houthi attacks in Israel prompted Israel’s deadly retaliation this past month

Middle East Overview: September 2025

Israeli activity in Gaza declined amid daily pauses, Iraq saw the most serious intra-Kurdish confrontation since 2003 ahead of elections, protests in Israel failed to shift war policy, and Israeli strikes killed the Houthi prime minister in Yemen.

Middle East Overview: August 2025

In July, aid-related violence surged in Gaza, Iran’s Sistan and Baluchestan province saw a spike in political violence, drones disrupted oil production in Iraqi Kurdistan, Syria’s al-Suwayda faced mounting sectarian violence, and the Houthis resumed attacks in the Red Sea.