Every month, we publish short reports that analyze the latest ACLED data and highlight important patterns in political violence and protests around the world.
In October, unidentified drones wreaked havoc across Europe, Ukraine retaliated for strikes against its energy infrastructure, and the government cracked down on demonstrators and opposition in Georgia.
An operation against the CV gang killed at least 121 people in Rio de Janeiro, gangs expanded across multiple areas in Artibonite, Haiti, and US strikes on vessels in the Pacific fueled diplomatic tensions.
The ceasefire in Gaza held in October as low-level violence continued, while the ceasefire in Lebanon approached one year under strain, and settler violence against olive harvesters in the West Bank reached a record high.
The RSF attacked civilians in Sudan after taking over El Fasher and Bara, unrest erupted in Cameroon over President Biya’s re-election, and al-Shabaab struck a prison in the Somali capital.
TTP attacks led to cross-border clashes between Pakistan and Afghanistan, Chinese and Philippine vessels faced off in the South China Sea, and the Ta’ang Army in Myanmar agreed to a ceasefire.
As a result of the nationwide No Kings II demonstrations, October saw the largest number of anti-Trump demonstrations of any month in ACLED data, which dates back to the beginning of 2020.
Military pressure in Gaza City escalated as a ceasefire outline emerged, renewed confrontations broke out between government forces and the Syrian Democratic Forces in northern Syria, and an uptick of Houthi attacks in Israel prompted Israel’s deadly retaliation this past month
Insurgent violence rose in Nigeria’s Borno state, the US’ first recorded drone strike in the Sanaag region of Somalia killed an elder, and in Sudan the RSF made gains in El Fasher.
In August, the Myanmar navy increasingly relied on air support to fight resistance forces, and Indonesia’s anti-government demonstrations turned deadly.
The Rage Against the Regime protests on 2 August saw a relatively modest turnout, and extremist activity reached a five-year low.
Israeli activity in Gaza declined amid daily pauses, Iraq saw the most serious intra-Kurdish confrontation since 2003 ahead of elections, protests in Israel failed to shift war policy, and Israeli strikes killed the Houthi prime minister in Yemen.
JNIM overran the Farabougou army base in Mali after a five-year siege, Boko Haram escalated attacks on the Cameroon-Nigeria border, and targeted violence in Darfur drove an increase in civilian deaths in August.
Violence intensified in northern Veracruz state in Mexico, Venezuela mobilized forces as the US deployed warships and personnel to the Caribbean, and new security measures in prisons in Guatemala triggered coordinated riots.
In August, strikes on energy infrastructure in Ukraine and Russia intensified, and the Novi Sad demonstrations escalated in Serbia as they entered their 10th month.
In July, violence from Sudan’s war spilled into a bordering prefecture in CAR, and power struggles in the South Tigray zone of Ethiopia and the Hiiraan region of Somalia continued to affect security in the region.
In July, escalated Ukrainian drone attacks disrupted aerial and rail traffic in Russia, the civilian toll in Ukraine rose sharply as the battles increased to record levels, and anti-migration demonstrations gained momentum in several European countries.
