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Ukraine war situation update: 9 - 15 August 2025

Overview of political violence and conflict events in Ukraine from 26 July to 1 August 2025

27 August 2025

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map showing political violence events in ukraine, 9-15 august 2025

 

 

Key events

  1. 9 Aug.

    Kherson – Russian drones hit a bus in Kherson city, killing two civilians and injuring 19 others, including three rescuer

  2. 11 Aug.

    Donetsk – Russian air and artillery strikes kill two civilians and injure eight others in Bilozerske

  3. 12 Aug.

    Donetsk – Russian air, drone, and artillery strikes kill two civilians and injure 10 others in Kostiantynivka

Key trends

  • In the Donetsk region, Russian forces occupied a settlement west of Toretsk, another north of Myrnohrad, and three others northwest of Velyka Novosilka on the boundary with the Dnipropetrovsk region.
  • Ukrainian forces regained six settlements northeast of Dobropillia, another northwest of Velyka Novosilka in the Donetsk region, and three settlements in the border areas of the Sumy region.
  • Russian forces launched at least 18 long-range missile and drone strikes, including in the eastern Poltava region.
  • Russian strikes killed at least 37 civilians in the Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Sumy, and Zaporizhia regions. Meanwhile, Ukrainian drones and shelling reportedly killed seven civilians in the occupied parts of the Donetsk, Luhansk, and Zaporizhia regions.

Spotlight: Russian forces breach the Donetsk frontline ahead of Ukraine negotiations

Around 11 August, small groups of Russian troops infiltrated Pokrovsk, while several hundred mostly dismounted Russian infantry bypassed Ukrainian positions and advanced about 15 kilometers into the rear east of Dobropillia, a town north of Pokrovsk.1 The latter breach threatened the collapse of the defensive line protecting the Kramatorsk-Slovyansk urban agglomeration further north.2 By 15 August, Ukrainian forces reclaimed some of the lost ground, bisecting Russia’s narrow and overstretched two-pronged advance east of Dobropillia, and cleared Russian presence in Pokrovsk.3 Although they were quickly tackled, both breaches point to an acute shortage of infantry on the Ukrainian side, which relies on drones to interdict Russian mechanised advances.4

The crisis coincided with the Alaska summit between United States President Donald Trump and Russia’s leader Vladimir Putin. Putin demanded that Ukraine cede the remainder of the Donetsk region to end the war in exchange for freezing the frontlines in the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions and Russian withdrawals from the border areas of the Kharkiv and Sumy regions.5 Trump abandoned the demand for an immediate ceasefire under the threat of sanctions on buyers of Russian oil6 and urged Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to accept the deal.7 During his follow-up meetings with Zelenskyy and European and NATO leaders on 18 August, Trump appeared to have changed his stance toward freezing the war at current frontlines and providing Ukraine with NATO-like security guarantees in exchange for purchases of US weapons.8

Explore the ACLED Conflict Exposure Calculator to assess the numbers of people affected by armed violence, disaggregated by locations, time period, and actors involved.

Footnotes

  1. 1

    Siobhán O'Grady, Ellen Francis, and Catherine Belton, “Russian forces advance in Ukraine as Trump tempers outlook for Alaska summit,” The Washington Post, 12 August 2025Olivia Gibson et al., “Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 11, 2025,” Institute for the Study of War, 11 August 2025The Insider, “Ukrainian drones reached Komi for the first time, ‘legendary’ general Lapin sacked. What is going on on the frontlines,” 11 August 2025 (Russian)

  2. 2

    Siobhán O'Grady, Ellen Francis, and Catherine Belton, “Russian forces advance in Ukraine as Trump tempers outlook for Alaska summit,” The Washington Post, 12 August 2025

  3. 3

    Grace Mappes et al., “Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 16, 2025,” Institute for the Study of War, 16 August 2025; Tim Zadorozhnyy, “Ukrainian unit claims Pokrovsk cleared of Russian saboteurs,” Kyiv Independent, 15 August 2025

  4. 4

    X @RALee85, 12 August 2025

  5. 5

    Tom Balmforth, “Outline emerges of Putin's offer to end his war in Ukraine,” Reuters, 18 August 2025

  6. 6

    Andrew Osborn, “Putin wins Ukraine concessions in Alaska but did not get all he wanted,” Reuters, 16 August 2025

  7. 7

    Steve Holland, Andrew Osborn, and Tom Balmforth, “Trump tells Zelenskiy that Putin wants more of Ukraine, urges Kyiv make a deal,” Reuters, 17 August 2025

  8. 8

    Eli Stokols and Felicia Schwartz, “Trump touts successful Zelenskyy meeting and says he’s arranging one with Putin,” Politico, 18 August 2025Max Seddon, Christopher Miller, and Ben Hall, “Ukraine offers Trump $100bn weapons deal to win security guarantees,” Financial Times, 18 August 2025

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